Q2 2026
Q2 2026: one bank crossed a concentration threshold, and four southern New Jersey counties moved with it.
Published 2026-09-15. Read the report
Credit pressure across the Northeast
E is the highest pressure, A the lowestHover or tap a county for its grade.
Colour is the grade, not a warning. A high grade means deposits in that county are concentrated in banks carrying heavy commercial real estate books, which is information about exposure, not a claim about losses.
Regional ranking
Highest credit pressure first| Rank | County | Grade | Exposed deposits | Since Q1 2026 | Coverage | Banks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | Franklin County, PA | E | 56% | ▲ 7 places | Coverage 54% | 1 above threshold · 2 approaching |
| #2 | Mifflin County, PA | E | 48% | ▼ 1 place | Coverage 100% | 1 above threshold · 1 approaching |
| #3 | Sussex County, NJ | E | 81% | ▼ 1 place | Coverage 57% | 1 above threshold · 1 concentrated |
| #4 | Atlantic County, NJ | E | 63% | ▲ 66 places | Rated on 38% of deposits | 1 above threshold |
| #5 | Cumberland County, NJ | E | 55% | ▲ 67 places | Coverage 44% | 1 above threshold |
| #6 | Orange County, NY | E | 10% | ▼ 2 places | Rated on 37% of deposits | 2 above threshold · 1 approaching · 3 concentrated |
| #7 | Morris County, NJ | E | 29% | ▲ 9 places | Rated on 34% of deposits | 1 above threshold · 9 concentrated |
| #8 | Hunterdon County, NJ | E | 12% | ▲ 23 places | Rated on 31% of deposits | 1 above threshold · 5 concentrated |
| #9 | Cumberland County, ME | E | 49% | ▲ 3 places | Coverage 57% | 2 above threshold · 1 concentrated |
| #10 | Chester County, PA | E | 18% | ▼ 1 place | Rated on 32% of deposits | 2 above threshold · 3 concentrated |
| #11 | Androscoggin County, ME | E | 28% | ▼ 5 places | Coverage 77% | 2 above threshold |
| #12 | Passaic County, NJ | E | 8.0% | ▼ 9 places | Coverage 70% | 1 above threshold · 6 concentrated |
| #13 | Essex County, NJ | E | 11% | ▼ 6 places | Rated on 37% of deposits | 1 above threshold · 2 approaching · 12 concentrated |
| #14 | Ocean County, NJ | E | 60% | No change | Rated on 25.2% of deposits | 2 above threshold · 2 approaching · 6 concentrated |
| #15 | Huntingdon County, PA | E | 32% | ▲ 2 places | Coverage 100% | 2 above threshold · 1 concentrated |
- 56% exposed▲ 7 placesCoverage 54%1 above threshold · 2 approaching
- 48% exposed▼ 1 placeCoverage 100%1 above threshold · 1 approaching
- 81% exposed▼ 1 placeCoverage 57%1 above threshold · 1 concentrated
- 63% exposed▲ 66 placesRated on 38% of deposits1 above threshold
- 55% exposed▲ 67 placesCoverage 44%1 above threshold
- 10% exposed▼ 2 placesRated on 37% of deposits2 above threshold · 1 approaching · 3 concentrated
- 29% exposed▲ 9 placesRated on 34% of deposits1 above threshold · 9 concentrated
- 12% exposed▲ 23 placesRated on 31% of deposits1 above threshold · 5 concentrated
- 49% exposed▲ 3 placesCoverage 57%2 above threshold · 1 concentrated
- 18% exposed▼ 1 placeRated on 32% of deposits2 above threshold · 3 concentrated
- 28% exposed▼ 5 placesCoverage 77%2 above threshold
- 8.0% exposed▼ 9 placesCoverage 70%1 above threshold · 6 concentrated
- 11% exposed▼ 6 placesRated on 37% of deposits1 above threshold · 2 approaching · 12 concentrated
- 60% exposedNo changeRated on 25.2% of deposits2 above threshold · 2 approaching · 6 concentrated
- 32% exposed▲ 2 placesCoverage 100%2 above threshold · 1 concentrated
Biggest moves
Measured in points of exposed deposit share versus Q1 2026, not in ranking places.
More exposed
- Atlantic County, NJ▲ 62.9 pts63% exposed now1 above threshold of 6 banks under $100B in assets
- Cumberland County, NJ▲ 54.5 pts55% exposed now1 above threshold of 6 banks under $100B in assets
- Ocean County, NJ▲ 29.2 pts60% exposed now2 above threshold of 11 banks under $100B in assets
- Cape May County, NJ▲ 26.2 pts26% exposed now1 above threshold of 6 banks under $100B in assets
- Western Connecticut Planning Region, CT▲ 13.0 pts13% exposed now1 above threshold of 14 banks under $100B in assets
Less exposed
- Belknap County, NH▼ 15.9 pts0.0% exposed now0 above threshold of 5 banks under $100B in assets
- Merrimack County, NH▼ 14.5 pts0.0% exposed now0 above threshold of 12 banks under $100B in assets
- Schuylkill County, PA▼ 13.3 pts0.0% exposed now0 above threshold of 7 banks under $100B in assets
- Northumberland County, PA▼ 8.0 pts0.0% exposed now0 above threshold of 9 banks under $100B in assets
- Cumberland County, PA▼ 6.3 pts10% exposed now1 above threshold of 12 banks under $100B in assets
Banks to watch
Within one quarter of a threshold in Q2 2026. Ratios are part of Desk.
- Eastern BankApproachingBoston, MA$31B11 Northeast counties
- WesBanco Bank, Inc.ApproachingWheeling, WV$28B5 Northeast counties
- Israel Discount Bank of New YorkApproachingNew York, NY$14B4 Northeast counties
- Salem Five Cents Savings BankApproachingSalem, MA$8.8B4 Northeast counties
- CNB BankApproachingClearfield, PA$8.4B13 Northeast counties
- Orrstown BankApproachingHarrisburg, PA$5.6B6 Northeast counties
- Manasquan BankConcentratedManasquan, NJ$3.6B3 Northeast counties
- PCB BankConcentratedLos Angeles, CA$3.5B2 Northeast counties
All 218 counties
The table the map is drawn from. Grade, exposed deposit share and coverage for every county in Q2 2026.
Connecticut (9)
| County | Pressure | Exposed deposits | Broad share | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitol Planning Region | n/a | 0.0% | 3.7% | Not rated, 18% coverage |
| Greater Bridgeport Planning Region | n/a | 7.9% | 29% | Not rated, 12% coverage |
| Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region | B | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 56% |
| Naugatuck Valley Planning Region | C | 0.0% | 1.0% | Coverage 55% |
| Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region | D | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 64% |
| Northwest Hills Planning Region | B | 0.0% | 14% | Coverage 89% |
| South Central Connecticut Planning Region | n/a | 0.0% | 6.3% | Not rated, 24% coverage |
| Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region | A | 0.0% | 3.0% | Coverage 51% |
| Western Connecticut Planning Region | E | 13% | 47% | Rated on 36% of deposits |
Massachusetts (14)
| County | Pressure | Exposed deposits | Broad share | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnstable County | A | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 65% |
| Berkshire County | D | 20% | 20% | Coverage 51% |
| Bristol County | E | 6.0% | 27% | Coverage 62% |
| Dukes County | A | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 92% |
| Essex County | D | 6.0% | 7.2% | Coverage 57% |
| Franklin County | n/a | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fewer than 3 banks under $100B in assets |
| Hampden County | C | 0.0% | 30% | Coverage 45% |
| Hampshire County | C | 0.0% | 2.9% | Coverage 72% |
| Middlesex County | E | 17% | 33% | Coverage 47% |
| Nantucket County | C | 0.0% | 16% | Coverage 80% |
| Norfolk County | E | 28% | 29% | Coverage 41% |
| Plymouth County | E | 2.2% | 19% | Coverage 60% |
| Suffolk County | n/a | 17% | 19% | Not rated, 2.4% coverage |
| Worcester County | E | 1.1% | 22% | Coverage 48% |
Maine (16)
| County | Pressure | Exposed deposits | Broad share | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Androscoggin County | E | 28% | 28% | Coverage 77% |
| Aroostook County | B | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 70% |
| Cumberland County | E | 49% | 49% | Coverage 57% |
| Franklin County | A | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 92% |
| Hancock County | D | 0.0% | 26% | Coverage 94% |
| Kennebec County | D | 7.1% | 9.4% | Coverage 62% |
| Knox County | D | 0.0% | 2.5% | Coverage 84% |
| Lincoln County | C | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 100% |
| Oxford County | E | 35% | 35% | Coverage 83% |
| Penobscot County | D | 0.0% | 8.8% | Coverage 79% |
| Piscataquis County | n/a | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fewer than 3 banks under $100B in assets |
| Sagadahoc County | B | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 100% |
| Somerset County | B | 0.0% | 3.7% | Coverage 100% |
| Waldo County | D | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 91% |
| Washington County | C | 0.0% | 12% | Coverage 100% |
| York County | E | 12% | 46% | Coverage 70% |
New Hampshire (10)
| County | Pressure | Exposed deposits | Broad share | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belknap County | D | 0.0% | 47% | Coverage 60% |
| Carroll County | D | 0.0% | 27% | Coverage 57% |
| Cheshire County | A | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 53% |
| Coos County | C | 0.0% | 16% | Coverage 84% |
| Grafton County | D | 0.0% | 26% | Coverage 67% |
| Hillsborough County | n/a | 5.3% | 34% | Not rated, 14% coverage |
| Merrimack County | C | 0.0% | 37% | Coverage 44% |
| Rockingham County | E | 35% | 42% | Rated on 29% of deposits |
| Strafford County | B | 0.0% | 22% | Rated on 38% of deposits |
| Sullivan County | B | 0.0% | 30% | Coverage 93% |
New Jersey (21)
| County | Pressure | Exposed deposits | Broad share | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic County | E | 63% | 63% | Rated on 38% of deposits |
| Bergen County | E | 8.7% | 59% | Coverage 43% |
| Burlington County | E | 7.0% | 36% | Rated on 27% of deposits |
| Camden County | n/a | 0.0% | 19% | Not rated, 20% coverage |
| Cape May County | E | 26% | 26% | Coverage 59% |
| Cumberland County | E | 55% | 55% | Coverage 44% |
| Essex County | E | 11% | 92% | Rated on 37% of deposits |
| Gloucester County | D | 5.1% | 18% | Coverage 47% |
| Hudson County | n/a | 25% | 93% | Not rated, 11% coverage |
| Hunterdon County | E | 12% | 63% | Rated on 31% of deposits |
| Mercer County | n/a | 12% | 59% | Not rated, 18% coverage |
| Middlesex County | n/a | 37% | 81% | Not rated, 23% coverage |
| Monmouth County | E | 34% | 97% | Rated on 29% of deposits |
| Morris County | E | 29% | 90% | Rated on 34% of deposits |
| Ocean County | E | 60% | 92% | Rated on 25.2% of deposits |
| Passaic County | E | 8.0% | 99.5% | Coverage 70% |
| Salem County | B | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 92% |
| Somerset County | E | 15% | 73% | Rated on 28% of deposits |
| Sussex County | E | 81% | 93% | Coverage 57% |
| Union County | E | 7.1% | 77% | Rated on 31% of deposits |
| Warren County | E | 9.6% | 30% | Rated on 38% of deposits |
New York (62)
| County | Pressure | Exposed deposits | Broad share | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albany County | n/a | 0.0% | 10% | Not rated, 20% coverage |
| Allegany County | C | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 100% |
| Bronx County | n/a | 28% | 83% | Not rated, 23% coverage |
| Broome County | D | 0.0% | 12% | Rated on 31% of deposits |
| Cattaraugus County | B | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 91% |
| Cayuga County | B | 0.0% | 26% | Coverage 68% |
| Chautauqua County | A | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 67% |
| Chemung County | D | 0.0% | 52% | Coverage 97% |
| Chenango County | n/a | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fewer than 3 banks under $100B in assets |
| Clinton County | B | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 62% |
| Columbia County | C | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 52% |
| Cortland County | B | 0.0% | 20% | Coverage 69% |
| Delaware County | B | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 100% |
| Dutchess County | C | 0.0% | 15% | Rated on 25.9% of deposits |
| Erie County | n/a | 0.0% | 2.3% | Not rated, 21% coverage |
| Essex County | C | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 100% |
| Franklin County | B | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 87% |
| Fulton County | n/a | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fewer than 3 banks under $100B in assets |
| Genesee County | D | 0.0% | 61% | Coverage 55% |
| Greene County | C | 0.0% | 0.0% | Rated on 30% of deposits |
| Hamilton County | n/a | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fewer than 3 banks under $100B in assets |
| Herkimer County | A | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 51% |
| Jefferson County | A | 0.0% | 1.3% | Coverage 79% |
| Kings County | n/a | 1.3% | 73% | Not rated, 17% coverage |
| Lewis County | n/a | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fewer than 3 banks under $100B in assets |
| Livingston County | D | 0.0% | 30% | Coverage 89% |
| Madison County | C | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 80% |
| Monroe County | B | 0.0% | 11% | Rated on 25.6% of deposits |
| Montgomery County | C | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 59% |
| Nassau County | D | 1.2% | 41% | Rated on 36% of deposits |
| New York County | n/a | 2.1% | 26% | Not rated, 6.7% coverage |
| Niagara County | n/a | 0.0% | 0.0% | Not rated, 24% coverage |
| Oneida County | B | 0.0% | 0.0% | Rated on 34% of deposits |
| Onondaga County | B | 0.0% | 2.1% | Rated on 29% of deposits |
| Ontario County | B | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 84% |
| Orange County | E | 10% | 42% | Rated on 37% of deposits |
| Orleans County | n/a | 0.0% | 46% | Fewer than 3 banks under $100B in assets |
| Oswego County | C | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 87% |
| Otsego County | C | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 89% |
| Putnam County | C | 0.0% | 83% | Rated on 29% of deposits |
| Queens County | E | 6.1% | 47% | Rated on 29% of deposits |
| Rensselaer County | A | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 40% |
| Richmond County | D | 0.0% | 97% | Rated on 35% of deposits |
| Rockland County | n/a | 17% | 52% | Not rated, 14% coverage |
| Saratoga County | B | 0.0% | 3.1% | Coverage 58% |
| Schenectady County | A | 0.0% | 1.6% | Coverage 62% |
| Schoharie County | A | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 86% |
| Schuyler County | n/a | 0.0% | 74% | Fewer than 3 banks under $100B in assets |
| Seneca County | B | 0.0% | 3.4% | Coverage 79% |
| St. Lawrence County | A | 0.0% | 0.9% | Coverage 87% |
| Steuben County | D | 0.0% | 13% | Coverage 95% |
| Suffolk County | C | 0.0% | 72% | Rated on 26% of deposits |
| Sullivan County | D | 6.9% | 6.9% | Coverage 60% |
| Tioga County | C | 0.0% | 31% | Coverage 89% |
| Tompkins County | C | 0.0% | 72% | Coverage 74% |
| Ulster County | B | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 47% |
| Warren County | A | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 59% |
| Washington County | A | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 71% |
| Wayne County | B | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 86% |
| Westchester County | n/a | 0.7% | 25% | Not rated, 7.5% coverage |
| Wyoming County | D | 0.0% | 49% | Coverage 78% |
| Yates County | C | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 100% |
Pennsylvania (67)
| County | Pressure | Exposed deposits | Broad share | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adams County | n/a | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fewer than 3 banks under $100B in assets |
| Allegheny County | n/a | 1.0% | 7.7% | Not rated, 24.9% coverage |
| Armstrong County | B | 0.0% | 46% | Coverage 85% |
| Beaver County | B | 0.0% | 2.0% | Coverage 49% |
| Bedford County | C | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 79% |
| Berks County | A | 0.0% | 13% | Coverage 51% |
| Blair County | D | 2.8% | 10% | Coverage 62% |
| Bradford County | D | 0.0% | 5.0% | Coverage 89% |
| Bucks County | E | 15% | 21% | Rated on 38% of deposits |
| Butler County | C | 0.0% | 38% | Coverage 54% |
| Cambria County | A | 0.0% | 21% | Coverage 100% |
| Cameron County | n/a | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fewer than 3 banks under $100B in assets |
| Carbon County | C | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 84% |
| Centre County | E | 21% | 32% | Coverage 54% |
| Chester County | E | 18% | 43% | Rated on 32% of deposits |
| Clarion County | A | 0.0% | 22% | Coverage 90% |
| Clearfield County | D | 0.0% | 38% | Coverage 90% |
| Clinton County | A | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 62% |
| Columbia County | A | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 78% |
| Crawford County | B | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 75% |
| Cumberland County | E | 10% | 29% | Rated on 37% of deposits |
| Dauphin County | D | 1.0% | 31% | Coverage 55% |
| Delaware County | E | 29% | 37% | Rated on 26% of deposits |
| Elk County | A | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 100% |
| Erie County | A | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 59% |
| Fayette County | A | 0.0% | 7.2% | Coverage 67% |
| Forest County | no branches | – | – | |
| Franklin County | E | 56% | 56% | Coverage 54% |
| Fulton County | n/a | 48% | 48% | Fewer than 3 banks under $100B in assets |
| Greene County | A | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 90% |
| Huntingdon County | E | 32% | 42% | Coverage 100% |
| Indiana County | C | 0.0% | 48% | Coverage 89% |
| Jefferson County | C | 0.0% | 53% | Coverage 100% |
| Juniata County | D | 9.5% | 9.5% | Coverage 100% |
| Lackawanna County | B | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 65% |
| Lancaster County | A | 0.0% | 7.0% | Coverage 55% |
| Lawrence County | B | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 59% |
| Lebanon County | B | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 82% |
| Lehigh County | D | 8.9% | 29% | Coverage 41% |
| Luzerne County | C | 0.0% | 5.7% | Rated on 34% of deposits |
| Lycoming County | A | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 59% |
| McKean County | A | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 94% |
| Mercer County | B | 0.0% | 1.2% | Coverage 68% |
| Mifflin County | E | 48% | 48% | Coverage 100% |
| Monroe County | C | 0.0% | 0.0% | Rated on 30% of deposits |
| Montgomery County | D | 4.3% | 9.3% | Rated on 28% of deposits |
| Montour County | A | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 75% |
| Northampton County | D | 3.0% | 3.0% | Coverage 40% |
| Northumberland County | A | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 48% |
| Perry County | B | 0.0% | 11% | Coverage 100% |
| Philadelphia County | n/a | 5.9% | 12% | Not rated, 9.9% coverage |
| Pike County | C | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 57% |
| Potter County | D | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 100% |
| Schuylkill County | C | 0.0% | 52% | Coverage 45% |
| Snyder County | B | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 54% |
| Somerset County | A | 0.0% | 14% | Coverage 89% |
| Sullivan County | n/a | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fewer than 3 banks under $100B in assets |
| Susquehanna County | C | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 100% |
| Tioga County | D | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 100% |
| Union County | C | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 58% |
| Venango County | A | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 78% |
| Warren County | A | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 59% |
| Washington County | A | 0.0% | 4.0% | Coverage 50% |
| Wayne County | C | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 95% |
| Westmoreland County | B | 0.0% | 28% | Coverage 59% |
| Wyoming County | B | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 95% |
| York County | B | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 41% |
Rhode Island (5)
| County | Pressure | Exposed deposits | Broad share | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol County | C | 0.0% | 10% | Rated on 27% of deposits |
| Kent County | D | 0.0% | 36% | Rated on 37% of deposits |
| Newport County | D | 0.0% | 10% | Coverage 60% |
| Providence County | n/a | 0.0% | 53% | Not rated, 10% coverage |
| Washington County | D | 0.0% | 84% | Coverage 52% |
Vermont (14)
| County | Pressure | Exposed deposits | Broad share | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addison County | A | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 74% |
| Bennington County | A | 0.0% | 0.0% | Coverage 51% |
| Caledonia County | B | 0.0% | 25% | Coverage 91% |
| Chittenden County | n/a | 15% | 20% | Not rated, 22% coverage |
| Essex County | n/a | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fewer than 3 banks under $100B in assets |
| Franklin County | B | 0.0% | 18% | Coverage 62% |
| Grand Isle County | n/a | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fewer than 3 banks under $100B in assets |
| Lamoille County | D | 0.0% | 92% | Coverage 62% |
| Orange County | A | 0.0% | 17% | Coverage 100% |
| Orleans County | n/a | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fewer than 3 banks under $100B in assets |
| Rutland County | C | 0.0% | 44% | Rated on 30% of deposits |
| Washington County | A | 0.0% | 2.7% | Coverage 59% |
| Windham County | n/a | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fewer than 3 banks under $100B in assets |
| Windsor County | D | 0.0% | 12% | Coverage 74% |
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Concentration measures exposure, not loss. This is a map of exposure, not a forecast: our published backtest found no relationship between a county's score and subsequent deterioration.
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